Tom Kean, former Governor of New Jersey, is known for saying in commercials. New Jersey and you, perfect together. When it comes to politics and your portfolio, they are imperfect together.
The World Wide Web 30 Years Later
April 30th marked the 30th anniversary of the World Wide Web being introduced to the public for the first time. Tim Berners-Lee was a 37-year-old researcher at CERN, a physics lab in Switzerland when he created the first website and launched it on the Web as we know it today. 1.8 billion websites later, Lee's invention has revolutionized the way human beings interact and learn on a global scale.
Solar Energy Tax Incentives: What's New for 2023?
According to the Department of Energy's SETO (Solar Energy Technologies Office), provisions included in the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 will reduce the cost of installing rooftop solar by an average of $7,500, with taxpayers expected to realize an additional average savings of $9,000 on their electricity bills over the system's life.
Investing Significant Amount of Cash: Lump-Sum Investing vs Dollar-Cost Averaging
Investing can be a daunting task, especially when you have a significant amount of cash to invest. One of the most crucial decisions is when to invest. Should you commit all at once or spread out your investments over time? This article will discuss the two primary investment strategies: lump-sum investing and dollar-cost averaging.
How Banks Work and the Importance of FDIC Insurance
What Happened to Silicon Valley Bank (SVB)
Revelations around the collapse and government takeover of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) dominated the news over the weekend. Except for the distractions provided by March Madness brackets and the Oscars, the word of failing financial institutions brought back bad feelings for everyone. Ironically, the film Everything Everywhere All at Once not only swept the Oscars but aptly describes the swiftness in which SVB collapsed.
Remembering your WHY
Don’t Look at 2023 in the Rearview Mirror
A Tulip by Any Other Name: The Collapse of FTX and Crypto Markets.
The first investment speculative bubble was the tulip bubble of the mid-1600s. The details are debatable, but from 1634 to 1637, a speculative bubble developed on future contracts for new tulip varieties in Holland. Prices snowballed, reaching ten times the annual salary of a typical tradesman of the day. By February 1637, the market had collapsed. The tulip mania of the 1600s resulted from a mass hysteria for new varieties of tulips developed in Holland after the flower had been introduced to Europe only a few decades before.
Do You Know the Game You’re Playing?
During my sabbatical, I read a book by Simon Sinek, “The Infinite Game,” which was published in 2019 and inspired by James Carse’s 1986 book on game theory titled “Finite and Infinite Games.”
In the books, finite and infinite games are described in this way:
A finite game is played to win, like baseball or golf. The players are known, the rules are set, and the endpoint is defined.
What Caused the Inflation We've Been Experiencing?
Inflation is all everyone has been talking about for two years. Inflation reaching 40-year highs has wreaked havoc on consumers' wallets and caused market uncertainty.
The inflation story in 2021 was propelled forward by supply chain disruptions following the shutdown of the economy due to the COVID stay-at-home orders. This broad statement of supply chain disruptions expands to the physical transportation of products and a shortage of workers and materials
Don't Let Sequence Risk Derail Your Retirement
Investors face many risks. Sequence-of-returns risk has not been discussed much over the last decade. Sequence risk is the risk of an investor experiencing a down market while simultaneously needing to begin withdrawals from your portfolio.
Understandably, sequence risk has not been top-of-mind for many retirees due to the 12-year bull market that began in 2009 and just recently ended. However, the current bear market and high inflation have underscored the importance of understanding sequence risk and finding ways to help mitigate it.
Economic Cycles as a Shakespearean Tragedy
Shakespeare wrote ten dramas, each with a different story and cast of characters. However, his tragedies follow the same five-act formula: Exposition, Rising Action, Climax, Falling Action, and Resolution. Every play, movie, and television shows from Shakespeare's time to today follows the same five-act sequence. Our culture's art and entertainment reflect our innate expectations of the hero's rise, fall, and resolution. Likewise, our expectations for the economy and financial markets are no different.
The Investment Story of 2022
The first half of 2022 has been a disappointing year for every investor. At the close of Q2 2022, a 60/40 hypothetical portfolio comprised of the S&P 500 Index and Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index was down over 12%. What's been the driving force behind these investment returns, and what can we expect moving forward?
True Confessions of a Financial Advisor
As of Friday, the 29th of July, except for the NASDAQ market, the US equity markets recovered somewhat from the bear market correction. A bear market is a loss of 20% from the previous high. In the first six months of 2022, the equity market had lost over 80% of what it gained in 2021 and entered a bear market correction.
What is a Recession?
Two weeks ago, the latest Consumer Price Index data (the index that measures inflation) had risen 1.3% in June, bringing headline inflation up to 9.1% and core inflation (excludes energy and food) up to 5.9% over the last 12 months. With increases this large, it’s not surprising to know this has been the most significant 12-month increase since November of 1981. With inflation on the rise, the war in Ukraine, and the stock market in bear territory (when stocks fall at least 20% off their highs), are we doomed for a recession?
Equity Compensation Concentration: When is enough, enough?
Tax Loss Harvesting: The Silver Lining of Market Downturns
With the first half of 2022 closing just a few days ago, the S&P 500 is down almost 20% year-to-date. That would rank as the worst first half of the year in over 50 years! While many tend to avoid looking at their investment account statements during times like this, market downturns present unique opportunities for investors
Market Volatility: It’s Different This Time
Every time the stock market experiences a correction (down >10%), we hear that familiar phrase, “It’s different this time.” Since 1950, there have been 39 corrections for the S&P 500, and they have all been the result of a different set of circumstances. There have been six years when long-term government bonds lost 5% or more during the same period, all with varying circumstances. Being different doesn’t mean that the market will not recover from a correction.
Rising Interest Rates, The Economy, and Your Portfolio
For the first time since December 2018, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted at its March meeting to raise the federal funds target rate range by ¼ percent to 0.25% - 0.50%. Following this initial increase, the median voting member expects seven more rate hikes in 2022 and an additional four hikes in 2023.